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November 01, 2004
Final Election Predictions
President
Best Case Scenario
Kerry (326) - The Blue states plus IA, CO, NM, MI, FL, OH, AR, PA, MN, WI. Kerry is surging in the midwest and FL and I think Badnarik will hurt Bush in NM and CO.Bush (212).
Worst Case Scenario
Kerry (282) - Loses OH, CO, NM and AR from above plus HI swings to Bush.
Bush (256).
What I think will happen
Kerry (320) - Same as the first scenario save for AR.
Bush (218).
I have some thoughts on the Senate and House but the numbers are too big. Kerry wins so his replacement is picked in a special election early next year. The Dems pick up seats in AK, IL, OK (Coburn just wrapped up the KKK endorsement), CO and maybe KY. They lose SC and GA.
The Dems will also have a net pickup in the House but will still be slightly the minority party there.
Posted by Half-Cocked at November 1, 2004 09:09 PM
Comments
Man... I hope you are right. I may not be as sold on Kerry as a President as you are, but I am sold enough to know that I want him to win.
Posted by: Soup at November 1, 2004 09:53 PM